Table 1

Confusion matrix with number of forecast instances (absolute and relative) for the evaluation of binary forecasting the persistence of clear sky periods. Note that only the constant clear sky periods (61% of total) have been considered for the evaluation.

  Forecast Sum

Persistent clear Non-persistent clear
Measurement
Persistent clear TP − 98 506 (95.4%) FP − 2884 (2.8%) 101 390 (98.2%)
Non-persistent clear FN − 533 (0.5%) TN − 1359 (1.3%) 1892 (1.8%)

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