Renew. Energy Environ. Sustain.
Volume 1, 2016
|Number of page(s)||4|
|Published online||12 September 2016|
A case study of outlier event on solar irradiance forecasts from the two NWPs with different horizontal resolutions
National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology (AIST), OSL, Central 2,
1-1-1, Umezono, Tsukuba,
2 Meteorological Research Institute (MRI), Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), 1-1 Nagamine, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 305-0052, Japan
⁎ e-mail: firstname.lastname@example.org
Photovoltaic (PV) power generation is directly effected by global horizontal irradiance (GHI) and has also large variations in spatial and/or temporal scales. For a safety control of an energy management system (EMS), a day-ahead forecast or several hour forecast of solar irradiance by a numerical weather prediction model (NWP) becomes important for a control of reserve capacity (thermal power generation, etc.). In particular, a large forecast error of PV power and/or GHI forecasts has to be prevented in the EMS. The Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) developed two NWPs with different horizontal resolutions. First one is a mesoscale model with horizontal grid spacing of 5 km and second one is a local forecast model with that of 2 km. The two NWPs have been used as an operational model in JMA. In this study, GHI forecasts obtained from the two models are validated and conducted a case study for large forecast error (outlier events) case of GHI.
© H. Ohtake et al., published by EDP Sciences, 2016
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Current usage metrics show cumulative count of Article Views (full-text article views including HTML views, PDF and ePub downloads, according to the available data) and Abstracts Views on Vision4Press platform.
Data correspond to usage on the plateform after 2015. The current usage metrics is available 48-96 hours after online publication and is updated daily on week days.
Initial download of the metrics may take a while.